Goal expectancy
1.39Expected goals1.09
From 7 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Girona
Estimated win chances: Girona 43.8%, draw 26.8%, Mallorca 29.5%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
69Hot streakGirona
Weighted momentum
Girona carries the sharper recent run (+10 momentum).
59BuildingMallorca
Girona · hot formMallorca · compact defense
Girona
4W · 1D · 2LRecent →WWLWWLD
Momentum index
Mallorca
4W · 1D · 2LRecent →LWWDWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Girona
13 pts57% wins
4W · 1D · 2L · 7 played
For14
Against8
Mallorca
13 pts57% wins
4W · 1D · 2L · 7 played
For8
Against3
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Girona offensive edge
Girona faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-16 - Mallorca offensive edge
Mallorca's attack (33%) vs Girona's defense (17%).
+16
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Gironahot form
Mallorcacompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
7Girona70%
1Draws
2Mallorca20%