Goal expectancy
1.01Expected goals1.45
From 11 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Gold Star 1-2 Chattanooga Prediction
Balanced — model leans Chattanooga
Estimated win chances: Gold Star 26.3%, draw 26.5%, Chattanooga 47.2%. From 11 and 13 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
23Cold spellGold Star
Weighted momentum
Chattanooga arrives with stronger form weighting (+54 momentum).
77Hot streakChattanooga
Gold Star · cold formChattanooga · compact defense · hot form
Gold Star
3W · 0D · 8LRecent →LLLWLLLWLWL
Momentum index
Chattanooga
9W · 4D · 0LRecent →DWWDWWWWDDWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Gold Star
9 pts27% wins
3W · 0D · 8L · 11 played
For13
Against18
Chattanooga
31 pts69% wins
9W · 4D · 0L · 13 played
For23
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Gold Star offensive edge
Gold Star faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-44 - Chattanooga offensive edge
Chattanooga's attack (69%) vs Gold Star's defense (25%).
+44
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Gold Starcold form
Chattanoogacompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Gold Star100%
0Draws
0Chattanooga0%