Goal expectancy
1.24Expected goals1.13
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Gondomar 1-1 Marítimo II Prediction
Balanced — model leans Gondomar
Estimated win chances: Gondomar 38.8%, draw 27.8%, Marítimo Ii 33.4%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
34Cold spellGondomar
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
28Cold spellMarítimo Ii
Gondomar · low scoring · cold formMarítimo Ii · low scoring · cold form
Gondomar
4W · 2D · 8LRecent →DDLLWWLLLWLWLL
Momentum index
Marítimo Ii
3W · 2D · 9LRecent →LLWLDLWLDWLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGondomar +3
Gondomar
14 pts29% wins
4W · 2D · 8L · 14 played
For9
Against19
Marítimo Ii
11 pts21% wins
3W · 2D · 9L · 14 played
For14
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Gondomar offensive edge
Gondomar faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-13 - Marítimo Ii offensive edge
Marítimo Ii's attack (86%) vs Gondomar's defense (73%).
+13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Gondomarlow scoring · cold form
Marítimo Iilow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Gondomar20%
1Draws
3Marítimo Ii60%