Goal expectancy
1.15Expected goals1.39
From 34 and 34 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Rustavi
Estimated win chances: Gonio 31.1%, draw 26.5%, Rustavi 42.4%. From 34 and 34 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
36Cold spellGonio
Weighted momentum
Rustavi arrives with stronger form weighting (+36 momentum).
72Hot streakRustavi
Gonio · cold formRustavi · compact defense · hot form
Gonio
9W · 10D · 15LRecent →LWLWLWWDLLLLDDLDDLDWLLWLWLDDWLWDLD
Momentum index
Rustavi
20W · 8D · 6LRecent →WLWWDWWWWWWLLWWWWWWDWDLWLDDDLDWWDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapRustavi +31
Gonio
37 pts26% wins
9W · 10D · 15L · 34 played
For42
Against48
Rustavi
68 pts59% wins
20W · 8D · 6L · 34 played
For57
Against28
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Gonio offensive edge
Gonio faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-15 - Rustavi offensive edge
Rustavi's attack (55%) vs Gonio's defense (40%).
+15
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Goniocold form
Rustavicompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Gonio25%
1Draws
2Rustavi50%