Goal expectancy
2.05Expected goals0.88
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Gorodeya
Estimated win chances: Gorodeya 64.5%, draw 20.3%, Polotsk 15.2%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
81Hot streakGorodeya
Weighted momentum
Gorodeya carries the sharper recent run (+57 momentum).
24Cold spellPolotsk
Gorodeya · hot formPolotsk · low scoring · cold form
Gorodeya
9W · 1D · 1LRecent →WDWWLWWWWWW
Momentum index
Polotsk
2W · 2D · 7LRecent →LLDWLLLWDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGorodeya +20
Gorodeya
28 pts82% wins
9W · 1D · 1L · 11 played
For31
Against12
Polotsk
8 pts18% wins
2W · 2D · 7L · 11 played
For6
Against15
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Gorodeya offensive edge
Gorodeya's attack (79%) vs Polotsk's defense (47%).
+32 - Polotsk offensive edge
Polotsk runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-32
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Gorodeyahot form
Polotsklow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Gorodeya50%
0Draws
1Polotsk50%