Goal expectancy
1.14Expected goals1.07
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Gradina 37.2%, draw 29%, Goražde 33.7%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
58BuildingGradina
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
64BuildingGoražde
Gradina · Structured / conservative
Gradina
5W · 3D · 3LRecent →DWDWWLWLLWD
Momentum index
Goražde
6W · 3D · 2LRecent →DWWLWWDLWDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGoražde +3
Gradina
18 pts45% wins
5W · 3D · 3L · 11 played
For9
Against8
Goražde
21 pts55% wins
6W · 3D · 2L · 11 played
For17
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Gradina offensive edge
Gradina's attack (27%) vs Goražde's defense (0%).
+27 - Goražde offensive edge
Goražde runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-27
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
GradinaStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Gradina75%
1Draws
0Goražde0%