Grafenstein 3-4 Wolfsberg Prediction

GrafensteinGrafenstein
3 — 4FT
WolfsbergWolfsberg

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Wolfsberg

Estimated win chances: Grafenstein 35.2%, draw 22.5%, Wolfsberg 42.3%. From 24 and 24 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.62Expected goals1.79

From 24 and 24 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 2–27.4%
  • 0–16.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

44MixedGrafenstein
Weighted momentum

Wolfsberg arrives with stronger form weighting (+10 momentum).

54BuildingWolfsberg
Grafenstein · leaky defense

Grafenstein

9W · 6D · 9L
Recent →LWWLLDWWDLDLLLDWWLDWWDLW
Momentum index

Wolfsberg

13W · 5D · 6L
Recent →LDWLLDDWWWDWWWWLDLWLWWWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapWolfsberg +11

Grafenstein

33 pts
38% wins

9W · 6D · 9L · 24 played

For
39
Against
40
Goal diff -1

Wolfsberg

44 pts
54% wins

13W · 5D · 6L · 24 played

For
61
Against
34
Goal diff +27

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Grafenstein offensive edge

    Grafenstein's attack (45%) vs Wolfsberg's defense (38%).

    +7
  • Wolfsberg offensive edge

    Wolfsberg runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -7

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Grafenstein45
Wolfsberg55

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Grafenstein62
Wolfsberg38

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Grafenstein44
Wolfsberg54

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Grafenstein64
Wolfsberg36

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Grafenstein34
Wolfsberg30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Grafenstein60
Wolfsberg40

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Grafenstein0
Wolfsberg100
Grafensteinleaky defense

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

1Grafenstein100%
0Draws
0Wolfsberg0%

Recent meetings