Goal expectancy
1.03Expected goals1.13
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Peralada
Estimated win chances: Grama 32.8%, draw 29.4%, Peralada 37.8%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
45MixedGrama
Weighted momentum
Peralada arrives with stronger form weighting (+19 momentum).
64BuildingPeralada
Grama · low scoringPeralada · compact defense
Grama
4W · 2D · 5LRecent →LWWDLLWDLWL
Momentum index
Peralada
5W · 3D · 3LRecent →WWDWLWDDWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPeralada +4
Grama
14 pts36% wins
4W · 2D · 5L · 11 played
For9
Against13
Peralada
18 pts45% wins
5W · 3D · 3L · 11 played
For13
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Grama offensive edge
Grama faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-33 - Peralada offensive edge
Peralada's attack (58%) vs Grama's defense (25%).
+33
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Gramalow scoring
Peraladacompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Grama75%
1Draws
0Peralada0%