Goal expectancy
1.26Expected goals0.97
From 21 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Grama
Estimated win chances: Grama 43%, draw 28.5%, Rapitenca 28.5%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
41MixedGrama
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
39Cold spellRapitenca
Grama · low scoringRapitenca · low scoring · cold form
Grama
8W · 3D · 10LRecent →LLLWDLLWWWLWWDLLWDLWL
Momentum index
Rapitenca
6W · 2D · 13LRecent →WLWLLWLWDLLWLDWLLLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGrama +7
Grama
27 pts38% wins
8W · 3D · 10L · 21 played
For20
Against25
Rapitenca
20 pts29% wins
6W · 2D · 13L · 21 played
For16
Against25
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Grama offensive edge
Grama faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-13 - Rapitenca offensive edge
Rapitenca's attack (56%) vs Grama's defense (43%).
+13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Gramalow scoring
Rapitencalow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Grama33%
1Draws
1Rapitenca33%