Goal expectancy
1.40Expected goals1.23
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Grasse
Estimated win chances: Grasse 40.9%, draw 26.1%, Creteil 33%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
45MixedGrasse
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
51MixedCreteil
Grasse
5W · 6D · 7LRecent →DLWWWDDLDLWLDWLDLL
Momentum index
Creteil
7W · 3D · 8LRecent →WWLWWLDLLWWLLLDWLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCreteil +3
Grasse
21 pts28% wins
5W · 6D · 7L · 18 played
For22
Against23
Creteil
24 pts39% wins
7W · 3D · 8L · 18 played
For25
Against23
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Grasse offensive edge
Grasse faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-13 - Creteil offensive edge
Creteil's attack (50%) vs Grasse's defense (38%).
+12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Grasse0%
0Draws
1Creteil100%