Grasse 3-1 Limonest Prediction

GrasseGrasse
3 — 1FT
LimonestLimonest

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Grasse

Estimated win chances: Grasse 46.1%, draw 26.3%, Limonest 27.6%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.45Expected goals1.06

From 13 and 13 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–012%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 2–08.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

30Cold spellGrasse
Weighted momentum

Limonest arrives with stronger form weighting (+11 momentum).

41MixedLimonest
Grasse · cold formLimonest · low scoring

Grasse

2W · 5D · 6L
Recent →DDLDLWLDWLDLL
Momentum index

Limonest

3W · 4D · 6L
Recent →WWLLDLWDDLLDL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLimonest +2

Grasse

11 pts
15% wins

2W · 5D · 6L · 13 played

For
14
Against
18
Goal diff -4

Limonest

13 pts
23% wins

3W · 4D · 6L · 13 played

For
10
Against
19
Goal diff -9

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Grasse offensive edge

    Grasse faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -5
  • Limonest offensive edge

    Limonest's attack (63%) vs Grasse's defense (57%).

    +6

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Grasse38
Limonest63

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Grasse57
Limonest43

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Grasse30
Limonest41

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Grasse40
Limonest62

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Grasse30
Limonest30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Grasse30
Limonest70

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Grasse0
Limonest0
Grassecold form
Limonestlow scoring