Goal expectancy
1.72Expected goals1.69
From 27 and 27 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Gresford Athletic 3-1 Caersws Prediction
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Gresford Athletic 39.3%, draw 22.6%, Caersws 38.1%. From 27 and 27 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
47MixedGresford Athletic
Weighted momentum
Gresford Athletic carries the sharper recent run (+13 momentum).
34Cold spellCaersws
Gresford Athletic · leaky defenseCaersws · High-risk / fragile
Gresford Athletic
10W · 3D · 14LRecent →LLWWWWLLWWWLLDLDWLLWLLLWLLD
Momentum index
Caersws
9W · 4D · 14LRecent →WWDLLLLLDLWLLLLWDWWDLLLLWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGresford Athletic +2
Gresford Athletic
33 pts37% wins
10W · 3D · 14L · 27 played
For38
Against63
Caersws
31 pts33% wins
9W · 4D · 14L · 27 played
For42
Against48
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Gresford Athletic offensive edge
Gresford Athletic's attack (55%) vs Caersws's defense (50%).
+5 - Caersws offensive edge
Caersws runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-5
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Gresford Athleticleaky defense
CaerswsHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Gresford Athletic0%
1Draws
2Caersws67%