Goal expectancy
1.78Expected goals1.39
From 40 and 40 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Grimsby 1-2 Kidderminster Harriers Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Grimsby
Estimated win chances: Grimsby 46.8%, draw 23.1%, Kidderminster Harriers 30.1%. From 40 and 40 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
58BuildingGrimsby
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
51MixedKidderminster Harriers
Grimsby
18W · 10D · 12LRecent →DDWDLWLDWWDWWWWWWDWWDDLLLWLWDLWLWWLLWDLL
Momentum index
Kidderminster Harriers
18W · 10D · 12LRecent →WDWLLLWLDLDWLWDWWWDDWWLWLDLWDWLWDLWWDWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Grimsby
64 pts45% wins
18W · 10D · 12L · 40 played
For74
Against55
Kidderminster Harriers
64 pts45% wins
18W · 10D · 12L · 40 played
For69
Against54
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Grimsby offensive edge
Grimsby faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-7 - Kidderminster Harriers offensive edge
Kidderminster Harriers's attack (57%) vs Grimsby's defense (50%).
+7
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.