Goal expectancy
2.84Expected goals1.03
From 28 and 28 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Grödig
Estimated win chances: Grödig 74.7%, draw 14.4%, Puch 10.9%. From 28 and 28 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
90Hot streakGrödig
Weighted momentum
Grödig carries the sharper recent run (+53 momentum).
37Cold spellPuch
Grödig · compact defense · hot formPuch · High-risk / fragile
Grödig
24W · 1D · 3LRecent →WWWWWWDWWWWWWWWWWLWWLWLWWWWW
Momentum index
Puch
9W · 4D · 15LRecent →WWLLLDDLDDWLWLWLLLLLWWLLLWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGrödig +42
Grödig
73 pts86% wins
24W · 1D · 3L · 28 played
For94
Against19
Puch
31 pts32% wins
9W · 4D · 15L · 28 played
For42
Against62
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Grödig offensive edge
Grödig's attack (67%) vs Puch's defense (29%).
+38 - Puch offensive edge
Puch runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-38
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Grödigcompact defense · hot form
PuchHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Grödig40%
0Draws
3Puch60%