Key events
View all
Ajax- D. Klaassen
- J. Brandt
- A. Bouwman
- B. Willumsson
- J. Brandt
- J. Mokio
- J. Mokio
- T. van Bergen
- T. van Bergen
GroningenFT 2–5
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Model blend
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Groningen10%
- Draw45%
- Ajax45%
Prematch market
Source: William Hill
- Groningen26.1%
- Draw24%
- Ajax49.9%
Live market
No in-play odds snapshot was captured for this match.
Venue
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion
Groningen · Netherlands
- Address
- Boumaboulevard 41
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 22579
Match
Dennis Higler
Round 9
- Referee
- Dennis Higler
- Round
- Round 9
- Date
Competition
League · Netherlands
- Country
- Netherlands (NL)
- Season
- 2026
- Dates
- 2026-08-07 → 2027-05-23
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
57%57%43%43%
Expected goals (xG)
2.2943%3.0457%
Total shots
1652%1548%
Shots on target
531%1169%
Team form & competition
View all- #7Position
- 14Points
- 4-2-2W-D-L
- 20/14Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 3-0 / 1-5
- Worst defeats
- 2-3 / 5-1
- #4Position
- 18Points
- 4-3-1W-D-L
- 22/10Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 5-1 / 1-5
- Worst defeats
- 1-3
Head to head
View all3Groningenwins
2Drawsmatches
15Ajaxwins
Recorded meetings: 20 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
- Highest scoring
- Ajax 6–1 Groningen
- Groningen most goals
- Groningen 3–1 Ajax
- Ajax most goals
- Ajax 6–1 Groningen
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Ajax created the clearer chances on xG (2.29 vs 3.04, Δ 0.75). Groningen fired more attempts (16 vs 15 shots). Ajax was more accurate in front of goal (73% on target vs 31%). Groningen held more of the ball (57% possession).
Ajax outperformed their xG by 2.0 goals (5 scored vs 3.04 xG).