Goal expectancy
1.45Expected goals0.86
From 7 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Guarany de Bagé 2-2 Bagé Prediction
Balanced — model leans Guarany De Bagé
Estimated win chances: Guarany De Bagé 50.9%, draw 26.7%, Bagé 22.3%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
61BuildingGuarany De Bagé
Weighted momentum
Guarany De Bagé carries the sharper recent run (+37 momentum).
24Cold spellBagé
Guarany De Bagé · Structured / conservativeBagé · High-risk / fragile
Guarany De Bagé
4W · 2D · 1LRecent →WDLDWWW
Momentum index
Bagé
1W · 2D · 4LRecent →LDDLWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGuarany De Bagé +9
Guarany De Bagé
14 pts57% wins
4W · 2D · 1L · 7 played
For6
Against4
Bagé
5 pts14% wins
1W · 2D · 4L · 7 played
For5
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Guarany De Bagé offensive edge
Guarany De Bagé's attack (43%) vs Bagé's defense (38%).
+5 - Bagé offensive edge
Bagé runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-6
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Guarany De BagéStructured / conservative
BagéHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Guarany De Bagé33%
1Draws
1Bagé33%