Goal expectancy
1.67Expected goals1.13
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Guingamp
Estimated win chances: Guingamp 50%, draw 24.3%, Caen 25.8%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
46MixedGuingamp
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
51MixedCaen
Caen · low scoring
Guingamp
3W · 1D · 2LRecent →LDWLWW
Momentum index
Caen
2W · 1D · 3LRecent →WWLDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGuingamp +3
Guingamp
10 pts50% wins
3W · 1D · 2L · 6 played
For12
Against9
Caen
7 pts33% wins
2W · 1D · 3L · 6 played
For5
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Guingamp offensive edge
Guingamp's attack (62%) vs Caen's defense (60%).
+2 - Caen offensive edge
Caen runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-2
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Caenlow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Guingamp57%
0Draws
3Caen43%