Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.17
From 12 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Guingamp
Estimated win chances: Guingamp 44.6%, draw 25.7%, Laval 29.8%. From 12 and 11 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
44MixedGuingamp
Weighted momentum
Guingamp carries the sharper recent run (+20 momentum).
24Cold spellLaval
Guingamp · leaky defenseLaval · low scoring · cold form
Guingamp
4W · 4D · 4LRecent →DLDDWWLWWLLD
Momentum index
Laval
1W · 6D · 4LRecent →DLDLLLWDDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Guingamp
16 pts33% wins
4W · 4D · 4L · 12 played
For18
Against22
Laval
9 pts9% wins
1W · 6D · 4L · 11 played
For8
Against13
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Guingamp offensive edge
Guingamp's attack (88%) vs Laval's defense (64%).
+24 - Laval offensive edge
Laval runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-23
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Guingampleaky defense
Lavallow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Guingamp43%
0Draws
4Laval57%