Goal expectancy
1.92Expected goals1.05
From 19 and 19 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Guria
Estimated win chances: Guria 57.7%, draw 22%, Gonio 20.3%. From 19 and 19 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
76Hot streakGuria
Weighted momentum
Guria carries the sharper recent run (+18 momentum).
58BuildingGonio
Guria · compact defense · hot formGonio · compact defense
Guria
13W · 3D · 3LRecent →WWWLWWWWLWDWWLDWDWW
Momentum index
Gonio
10W · 5D · 4LRecent →DLDWWWWWDLLWDWLDWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGuria +7
Guria
42 pts68% wins
13W · 3D · 3L · 19 played
For54
Against11
Gonio
35 pts53% wins
10W · 5D · 4L · 19 played
For30
Against18
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Guria offensive edge
Guria's attack (70%) vs Gonio's defense (22%).
+48 - Gonio offensive edge
Gonio runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-48
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Guriacompact defense · hot form
Goniocompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Guria25%
0Draws
3Gonio75%