Goal expectancy
1.79Expected goals1.23
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Gute
Estimated win chances: Gute 50.5%, draw 23.2%, Lidingö 26.3%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
39Cold spellGute
Weighted momentum
Gute carries the sharper recent run (+12 momentum).
27Cold spellLidingö
Gute · cold formLidingö · High-risk / fragile
Gute
6W · 5D · 7LRecent →WLLWLLDLWDDDWLLDWW
Momentum index
Lidingö
3W · 5D · 10LRecent →LLWLLDLDDWDLWLLLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGute +9
Gute
23 pts33% wins
6W · 5D · 7L · 18 played
For27
Against28
Lidingö
14 pts17% wins
3W · 5D · 10L · 18 played
For20
Against35
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Gute offensive edge
Gute's attack (73%) vs Lidingö's defense (42%).
+31 - Lidingö offensive edge
Lidingö runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-31
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Gutecold form
LidingöHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Gute22%
2Draws
5Lidingö56%