Goal expectancy
1.48Expected goals1.26
From 13 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
H&W Welders vs Ards Prediction
Balanced — model leans H&w Welders
Estimated win chances: H&w Welders 42.3%, draw 25.4%, Ards 32.3%. From 13 and 14 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
28Cold spellH&w Welders
Weighted momentum
Ards arrives with stronger form weighting (+9 momentum).
37Cold spellArds
H&w Welders · High-risk / fragileArds · cold form
H&w Welders
5W · 1D · 7LRecent →LLDLLLLWWWWLW
Momentum index
Ards
4W · 5D · 5LRecent →DDLWDLDWLLLWDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
H&w Welders
16 pts38% wins
5W · 1D · 7L · 13 played
For19
Against22
Ards
17 pts29% wins
4W · 5D · 5L · 14 played
For16
Against17
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- H&w Welders offensive edge
H&w Welders faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-27 - Ards offensive edge
Ards's attack (56%) vs H&w Welders's defense (29%).
+27
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H&w WeldersHigh-risk / fragile
Ardscold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2H&w Welders20%
1Draws
7Ards70%