Goal expectancy
1.35Expected goals1.49
From 26 and 26 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Sirius
Estimated win chances: Halmstad 34.3%, draw 25%, Sirius 40.6%. From 26 and 26 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
23Cold spellHalmstad
Weighted momentum
Sirius arrives with stronger form weighting (+32 momentum).
55BuildingSirius
Halmstad · High-risk / fragile
Halmstad
7W · 3D · 16LRecent →LDDDLLLLLLWLLLWLLWLLWWLWWL
Momentum index
Sirius
12W · 4D · 10LRecent →WWLLWWLDWWWLWLWLDDWLLDLLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSirius +16
Halmstad
24 pts27% wins
7W · 3D · 16L · 26 played
For26
Against44
Sirius
40 pts46% wins
12W · 4D · 10L · 26 played
For44
Against37
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Halmstad offensive edge
Halmstad faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-20 - Sirius offensive edge
Sirius's attack (75%) vs Halmstad's defense (55%).
+20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
HalmstadHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Halmstad57%
1Draws
2Sirius29%