Goal expectancy
2.77Expected goals1.72
From 25 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Harstad 4-3 Strømsgodset II Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Harstad
Estimated win chances: Harstad 59.9%, draw 17.4%, Strømsgodset Ii 22.7%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
75Hot streakHarstad
Weighted momentum
Harstad carries the sharper recent run (+30 momentum).
45MixedStrømsgodset Ii
Harstad · hot formStrømsgodset Ii · leaky defense
Harstad
15W · 4D · 6LRecent →WWWDLWWWWWWWWDWDWWLLLDLWL
Momentum index
Strømsgodset Ii
10W · 3D · 12LRecent →WWWDLLLWLLWLLWLDLLWWLDWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapHarstad +16
Harstad
49 pts60% wins
15W · 4D · 6L · 25 played
For82
Against40
Strømsgodset Ii
33 pts40% wins
10W · 3D · 12L · 25 played
For59
Against55
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Harstad offensive edge
Harstad faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-1 - Strømsgodset Ii offensive edge
Strømsgodset Ii's attack (56%) vs Harstad's defense (55%).
+1
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Harstadhot form
Strømsgodset Iileaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Harstad33%
1Draws
1Strømsgodset Ii33%