Goal expectancy
2.23Expected goals1.66
From 20 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Haukar
Estimated win chances: Haukar 50.9%, draw 20.3%, Selfoss 28.8%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
83Hot streakHaukar
Weighted momentum
Haukar carries the sharper recent run (+13 momentum).
70Hot streakSelfoss
Haukar · hot formSelfoss · Open but unstable
Haukar
15W · 2D · 3LRecent →WWWWWWLWWWDWLDWWWWWL
Momentum index
Selfoss
11W · 6D · 3LRecent →WWDWLWWWDWDLWDWWDWDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapHaukar +8
Haukar
47 pts75% wins
15W · 2D · 3L · 20 played
For54
Against26
Selfoss
39 pts55% wins
11W · 6D · 3L · 20 played
For51
Against34
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Haukar offensive edge
Haukar's attack (48%) vs Selfoss's defense (46%).
+2 - Selfoss offensive edge
Selfoss runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-2
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Haukarhot form
SelfossOpen but unstable
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
6Haukar60%
1Draws
3Selfoss30%