Goal expectancy
1.33Expected goals1.46
From 13 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Hegelmann II 2-1 Jonava Prediction
Balanced — model leans Jonava
Estimated win chances: Hegelmann Ii 34.4%, draw 25.3%, Jonava 40.3%. From 13 and 14 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
27Cold spellHegelmann Ii
Weighted momentum
Jonava arrives with stronger form weighting (+12 momentum).
39Cold spellJonava
Hegelmann Ii · High-risk / fragileJonava · cold form
Hegelmann Ii
3W · 1D · 9LRecent →WLLLLLLWWLDLL
Momentum index
Jonava
4W · 5D · 5LRecent →WDDLDLLLWDWWDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Hegelmann Ii
10 pts23% wins
3W · 1D · 9L · 13 played
For13
Against28
Jonava
17 pts29% wins
4W · 5D · 5L · 14 played
For17
Against18
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Hegelmann Ii offensive edge
Hegelmann Ii faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-16 - Jonava offensive edge
Jonava's attack (40%) vs Hegelmann Ii's defense (24%).
+16
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Hegelmann IiHigh-risk / fragile
Jonavacold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Hegelmann Ii0%
1Draws
1Jonava50%