Heracles 2-0 De Graafschap Prediction

HeraclesHeracles
2 — 0FT
De GraafschapDe Graafschap
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

HeraclesHeraclesvsDe GraafschapDe Graafschap

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Heracles

Estimated win chances: Heracles 52.1%, draw 22.7%, De Graafschap 25.2%. From 31 and 31 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.86Expected goals1.23

From 31 and 31 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–110.2%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 2–08.3%
  • 1–26.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

48MixedHeracles
Weighted momentum

Heracles carries the sharper recent run (+11 momentum).

37Cold spellDe Graafschap
Heracles · leaky defenseDe Graafschap · low scoring · cold form

Heracles

11W · 7D · 13L
Recent →LWLWWWWDLWDDLDLWLWLLWDWLLDLLDLW
Momentum index

De Graafschap

8W · 11D · 12L
Recent →DDLLWWDLDLDWLDLDWWLLWDDDLWDLLLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapHeracles +5

Heracles

40 pts
35% wins

11W · 7D · 13L · 31 played

For
58
Against
55
Goal diff +3

De Graafschap

35 pts
26% wins

8W · 11D · 12L · 31 played

For
29
Against
49
Goal diff -20

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Heracles offensive edge

    Heracles's attack (82%) vs De Graafschap's defense (67%).

    +15
  • De Graafschap offensive edge

    De Graafschap runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -15

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Heracles82
De Graafschap18

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Heracles33
De Graafschap67

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Heracles48
De Graafschap37

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Heracles80
De Graafschap20

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Heracles37
De Graafschap32

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Heracles64
De Graafschap36

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Heracles50
De Graafschap50
Heraclesleaky defense
De Graafschaplow scoring · cold form