Goal expectancy
1.61Expected goals1.35
From 3 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Heracles
Estimated win chances: Heracles 43.6%, draw 24.3%, Excelsior 32.1%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedHeracles
Weighted momentum
Heracles carries the sharper recent run (+34 momentum).
8Cold spellExcelsior
Heracles · leaky defenseExcelsior · High-risk / fragile
Heracles
1W · 0D · 2LRecent →WLL
Momentum index
Excelsior
0W · 1D · 2LRecent →LLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapHeracles +2
Heracles
3 pts33% wins
1W · 0D · 2L · 3 played
For4
Against8
Excelsior
1 pts0% wins
0W · 1D · 2L · 3 played
For2
Against6
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Heracles offensive edge
Heracles's attack (67%) vs Excelsior's defense (57%).
+10 - Excelsior offensive edge
Excelsior runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Heraclesleaky defense
ExcelsiorHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Heracles67%
0Draws
1Excelsior33%