Heracles 1-1 PSV Eindhoven Prediction

HeraclesHeracles
1 — 1FT
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

HeraclesHeraclesvsPsv EindhovenPsv Eindhoven

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Psv Eindhoven

Estimated win chances: Heracles 33.3%, draw 23.2%, Psv Eindhoven 43.5%. From 19 and 19 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.49Expected goals1.73

From 19 and 19 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–110.8%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 0–17.3%
  • 2–27%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

39Cold spellHeracles
Weighted momentum

Psv Eindhoven arrives with stronger form weighting (+35 momentum).

74Hot streakPsv Eindhoven
Heracles · cold formPsv Eindhoven · hot form

Heracles

6W · 5D · 8L
Recent →WLLLWLDLLWWWDDLLDWD
Momentum index

Psv Eindhoven

12W · 5D · 2L
Recent →WDWWLWWWDDWWWDDWWWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapPsv Eindhoven +18

Heracles

23 pts
32% wins

6W · 5D · 8L · 19 played

For
31
Against
27
Goal diff +4

Psv Eindhoven

41 pts
63% wins

12W · 5D · 2L · 19 played

For
52
Against
21
Goal diff +31

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Heracles offensive edge

    Heracles's attack (52%) vs Psv Eindhoven's defense (50%).

    +2
  • Psv Eindhoven offensive edge

    Psv Eindhoven runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -2

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Heracles52
Psv Eindhoven48

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Heracles50
Psv Eindhoven50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Heracles39
Psv Eindhoven74

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Heracles54
Psv Eindhoven46

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Heracles30
Psv Eindhoven30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Heracles38
Psv Eindhoven63

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Heracles0
Psv Eindhoven100
Heraclescold form
Psv Eindhovenhot form