Heracles 5-1 Roda Prediction

HeraclesHeracles
5 — 1FT
RodaRoda
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

HeraclesHeraclesvsRodaRoda

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Heracles

Estimated win chances: Heracles 50.4%, draw 22.3%, Roda 27.4%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.91Expected goals1.36

From 12 and 12 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–110%
  • 1–07.7%
  • 2–07.4%
  • 1–27.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

41MixedHeracles
Weighted momentum

Heracles carries the sharper recent run (+13 momentum).

28Cold spellRoda
Heracles · leaky defenseRoda · High-risk / fragile

Heracles

3W · 5D · 4L
Recent →LLWDWDDWDLLD
Momentum index

Roda

2W · 4D · 6L
Recent →LDDDWLLLWLLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapHeracles +4

Heracles

14 pts
25% wins

3W · 5D · 4L · 12 played

For
24
Against
25
Goal diff -1

Roda

10 pts
17% wins

2W · 4D · 6L · 12 played

For
12
Against
21
Goal diff -9

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Heracles offensive edge

    Heracles's attack (70%) vs Roda's defense (68%).

    +2
  • Roda offensive edge

    Roda runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -2

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Heracles70
Roda30

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Heracles32
Roda68

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Heracles41
Roda28

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Heracles54
Roda46

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Heracles43
Roda37

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Heracles54
Roda46

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Heracles50
Roda50
Heraclesleaky defense
RodaHigh-risk / fragile