Goal expectancy
1.53Expected goals1.09
From 15 and 15 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Heredia 2-0 Malacateco Prediction
Balanced — model leans Heredia
Estimated win chances: Heredia 47.4%, draw 25.5%, Malacateco 27%. From 15 and 15 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
58BuildingHeredia
Weighted momentum
Heredia carries the sharper recent run (+9 momentum).
49MixedMalacateco
Heredia
7W · 4D · 4LRecent →DWLWWDWDLWDWLWL
Momentum index
Malacateco
6W · 4D · 5LRecent →WLDDWWDLWLDLLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapHeredia +3
Heredia
25 pts47% wins
7W · 4D · 4L · 15 played
For25
Against16
Malacateco
22 pts40% wins
6W · 4D · 5L · 15 played
For18
Against17
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Heredia offensive edge
Heredia's attack (73%) vs Malacateco's defense (63%).
+10 - Malacateco offensive edge
Malacateco runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-11
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Heredia67%
1Draws
0Malacateco0%