Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.62
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Beringen
Estimated win chances: Herk 35.3%, draw 23.8%, Beringen 40.9%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
27Cold spellHerk
Weighted momentum
Beringen arrives with stronger form weighting (+16 momentum).
43MixedBeringen
Herk · High-risk / fragile
Herk
2W · 3D · 8LRecent →LWLLWLLDDLDLL
Momentum index
Beringen
4W · 5D · 4LRecent →DLWDWLDLDWDWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBeringen +8
Herk
9 pts15% wins
2W · 3D · 8L · 13 played
For16
Against26
Beringen
17 pts31% wins
4W · 5D · 4L · 13 played
For25
Against20
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Herk offensive edge
Herk faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-10 - Beringen offensive edge
Beringen's attack (60%) vs Herk's defense (50%).
+10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
HerkHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Herk50%
1Draws
0Beringen0%