Herlev 1-0 KFUM Prediction

HerlevHerlev
1 — 0FT
KFUMKFUM

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Herlev

Estimated win chances: Herlev 48.9%, draw 23.7%, Kfum 27.4%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.72Expected goals1.23

From 13 and 13 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 2–08.1%
  • 1–27.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

41MixedHerlev
Weighted momentum

Herlev carries the sharper recent run (+10 momentum).

31Cold spellKfum
Kfum · High-risk / fragile

Herlev

4W · 3D · 6L
Recent →LLDWWWLWLLDLD
Momentum index

Kfum

4W · 3D · 6L
Recent →LDLLDWLWLLWWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLevel on points

Herlev

15 pts
31% wins

4W · 3D · 6L · 13 played

For
20
Against
19
Goal diff +1

Kfum

15 pts
31% wins

4W · 3D · 6L · 13 played

For
16
Against
23
Goal diff -7

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Herlev offensive edge

    Herlev's attack (57%) vs Kfum's defense (18%).

    +39
  • Kfum offensive edge

    Kfum runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -39

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Herlev57
Kfum43

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Herlev82
Kfum18

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Herlev41
Kfum31

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Herlev128
Kfum-28

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Herlev30
Kfum37

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Herlev78
Kfum22

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Herlev50
Kfum50
KfumHigh-risk / fragile

H2H in this snapshot

From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.

1Herlev33%
1Draws
1Kfum33%

Recent meetings