Goal expectancy
1.52Expected goals1.10
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Herrera
Estimated win chances: Herrera 46.9%, draw 25.6%, Umecit 27.5%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
58BuildingHerrera
Weighted momentum
Herrera carries the sharper recent run (+20 momentum).
38Cold spellUmecit
Umecit · low scoring · cold form
Herrera
5W · 4D · 3LRecent →WDWWLWLDDDLW
Momentum index
Umecit
4W · 4D · 4LRecent →LLLWDDWWLDWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapHerrera +3
Herrera
19 pts42% wins
5W · 4D · 3L · 12 played
For22
Against17
Umecit
16 pts33% wins
4W · 4D · 4L · 12 played
For11
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Herrera offensive edge
Herrera's attack (69%) vs Umecit's defense (42%).
+27 - Umecit offensive edge
Umecit runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-27
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Umecitlow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Herrera67%
0Draws
1Umecit33%