Goal expectancy
1.11Expected goals1.13
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Herrera 35.1%, draw 28.8%, Umecit 36.1%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
19Cold spellHerrera
Weighted momentum
Umecit arrives with stronger form weighting (+21 momentum).
40MixedUmecit
Herrera · low scoring · cold form
Herrera
1W · 4D · 6LRecent →LDLDDLLLWDL
Momentum index
Umecit
3W · 5D · 3LRecent →DLDLWDWDWDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapUmecit +7
Herrera
7 pts9% wins
1W · 4D · 6L · 11 played
For7
Against14
Umecit
14 pts27% wins
3W · 5D · 3L · 11 played
For12
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Herrera offensive edge
Herrera faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-13 - Umecit offensive edge
Umecit's attack (71%) vs Herrera's defense (58%).
+13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Herreralow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
6Herrera86%
0Draws
1Umecit14%