Goal expectancy
1.17Expected goals1.56
From 23 and 26 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Umecit
Estimated win chances: Herrera 28.6%, draw 25.1%, Umecit 46.3%. From 23 and 26 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
18Cold spellHerrera
Weighted momentum
Umecit arrives with stronger form weighting (+25 momentum).
43MixedUmecit
Herrera · High-risk / fragile
Herrera
2W · 7D · 14LRecent →LLLDLDWLLDLLLLDDWLLLDDL
Momentum index
Umecit
8W · 12D · 6LRecent →WDLLDDDLDWWDDDDWWDDWLLDLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Herrera
13 pts9% wins
2W · 7D · 14L · 23 played
For19
Against50
Umecit
36 pts31% wins
8W · 12D · 6L · 26 played
For36
Against32
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Herrera offensive edge
Herrera faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-9 - Umecit offensive edge
Umecit's attack (38%) vs Herrera's defense (28%).
+10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
HerreraHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
9Herrera90%
0Draws
1Umecit10%