Goal expectancy
1.57Expected goals1.26
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Hibernian 44.6%, draw 24.8%, Aberdeen 30.6%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.57Expected goals1.26
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
7W · 3D · 4L · 14 played
5W · 6D · 3L · 14 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Hibernian's attack (58%) vs Aberdeen's defense (57%).
+1Aberdeen runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-1Comparison indices from the match data partner.