Goal expectancy
2.09Expected goals1.07
From 7 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Honka
Estimated win chances: Honka 60.8%, draw 20.6%, Ebk 18.6%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
86Hot streakHonka
Weighted momentum
Honka carries the sharper recent run (+45 momentum).
41MixedEbk
Honka · compact defense · hot formEbk · leaky defense
Honka
5W · 2D · 0LRecent →WWWDWWD
Momentum index
Ebk
2W · 2D · 3LRecent →DWLLWLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapHonka +9
Honka
17 pts71% wins
5W · 2D · 0L · 7 played
For20
Against5
Ebk
8 pts29% wins
2W · 2D · 3L · 7 played
For10
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Honka offensive edge
Honka's attack (62%) vs Ebk's defense (36%).
+26 - Ebk offensive edge
Ebk runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-26
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Honkacompact defense · hot form
Ebkleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Honka50%
1Draws
1Ebk25%