Goal expectancy
1.55Expected goals1.45
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Hps 40.1%, draw 24.3%, Ppj 35.7%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
68Hot streakHps
Weighted momentum
Hps carries the sharper recent run (+10 momentum).
58BuildingPpj
Hps · Open but unstablePpj · compact defense
Hps
3W · 1D · 2LRecent →WWWLDL
Momentum index
Ppj
2W · 4D · 0LRecent →WDDDWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Hps
10 pts50% wins
3W · 1D · 2L · 6 played
For13
Against11
Ppj
10 pts33% wins
2W · 4D · 0L · 6 played
For11
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Hps offensive edge
Hps faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-18 - Ppj offensive edge
Ppj's attack (45%) vs Hps's defense (27%).
+18
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
HpsOpen but unstable
Ppjcompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Hps50%
0Draws
1Ppj50%