Hull City 1-3 Middlesbrough Prediction

Hull CityHull City
1 — 3FT
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Hull CityHull CityvsMiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Hull City

Estimated win chances: Hull City 43.6%, draw 25.1%, Middlesbrough 31.4%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.53Expected goals1.26

From 14 and 14 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–18%
  • 1–27.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

39Cold spellHull City
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

46MixedMiddlesbrough
Hull City · cold formMiddlesbrough · compact defense

Hull City

4W · 4D · 6L
Recent →LWDWLDDLLWLLWD
Momentum index

Middlesbrough

5W · 5D · 4L
Recent →WLDDLDWDWDLWWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapMiddlesbrough +4

Hull City

16 pts
29% wins

4W · 4D · 6L · 14 played

For
26
Against
23
Goal diff +3

Middlesbrough

20 pts
36% wins

5W · 5D · 4L · 14 played

For
17
Against
12
Goal diff +5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Hull City offensive edge

    Hull City's attack (65%) vs Middlesbrough's defense (54%).

    +11
  • Middlesbrough offensive edge

    Middlesbrough runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -11

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Hull City65
Middlesbrough35

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Hull City46
Middlesbrough54

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Hull City39
Middlesbrough46

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Hull City72
Middlesbrough28

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Hull City32
Middlesbrough30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Hull City58
Middlesbrough42

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Hull City60
Middlesbrough40
Hull Citycold form
Middlesbroughcompact defense