Goal expectancy
1.38Expected goals1.03
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Iguatu 0-1 Tocantinópolis Prediction
Balanced — model leans Iguatu
Estimated win chances: Iguatu 44.9%, draw 27.1%, Tocantinópolis 28%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
46MixedIguatu
Weighted momentum
Iguatu carries the sharper recent run (+15 momentum).
31Cold spellTocantinópolis
Tocantinópolis · low scoring · cold form
Iguatu
3W · 2D · 3LRecent →DWDLWLLW
Momentum index
Tocantinópolis
1W · 5D · 2LRecent →DLDLWDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapIguatu +3
Iguatu
11 pts38% wins
3W · 2D · 3L · 8 played
For10
Against8
Tocantinópolis
8 pts13% wins
1W · 5D · 2L · 8 played
For8
Against9
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Iguatu offensive edge
Iguatu's attack (62%) vs Tocantinópolis's defense (45%).
+17 - Tocantinópolis offensive edge
Tocantinópolis runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-17
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Tocantinópolislow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Iguatu0%
1Draws
0Tocantinópolis0%