Goal expectancy
1.48Expected goals1.29
From 11 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Ilbirs
Estimated win chances: Ilbirs 41.7%, draw 25.3%, Talant 33%. From 11 and 10 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
39Cold spellIlbirs
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
39Cold spellTalant
Ilbirs · High-risk / fragileTalant · low scoring · cold form
Ilbirs
3W · 1D · 7LRecent →WLWLWLLLLLD
Momentum index
Talant
4W · 2D · 4LRecent →LLWLLWWDWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Ilbirs
10 pts27% wins
3W · 1D · 7L · 11 played
For14
Against21
Talant
14 pts40% wins
4W · 2D · 4L · 10 played
For10
Against14
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ilbirs offensive edge
Ilbirs's attack (71%) vs Talant's defense (35%).
+36 - Talant offensive edge
Talant runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-36
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
IlbirsHigh-risk / fragile
Talantlow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Ilbirs50%
0Draws
2Talant50%