Goal expectancy
1.78Expected goals0.91
From 17 and 17 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Illescas
Estimated win chances: Illescas 57.9%, draw 23.1%, Sonseca 19%. From 17 and 17 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
32Cold spellIllescas
Weighted momentum
Illescas carries the sharper recent run (+25 momentum).
7Cold spellSonseca
Illescas · low scoring · cold formSonseca · High-risk / fragile
Illescas
4W · 7D · 6LRecent →LDLDLDLWWDWLLDWDD
Momentum index
Sonseca
0W · 5D · 12LRecent →LLLDLLLLDLLLDLLDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapIllescas +14
Illescas
19 pts24% wins
4W · 7D · 6L · 17 played
For13
Against21
Sonseca
5 pts0% wins
0W · 5D · 12L · 17 played
For10
Against44
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Illescas offensive edge
Illescas faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-43 - Sonseca offensive edge
Sonseca's attack (100%) vs Illescas's defense (57%).
+43
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Illescaslow scoring · cold form
SonsecaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Illescas0%
1Draws
0Sonseca0%