Goal expectancy
2.01Expected goals1.39
Projected line: 2–1
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Inter Miami 4-0 DC United Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Inter Miami, projected 2–1
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
62BuildingInter Miami
Weighted momentum
Inter Miami carries the sharper recent run (+22 momentum).
40MixedDc United
Inter Miami · leaky defense
Inter Miami
12W · 10D · 5LRecent →LDDDDWLDLDWWWWWWLDWWDDWDWWL
Momentum index
Dc United
6W · 12D · 8LRecent →DLDWDLLDDWDDDLDWWDDLLDWLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Inter Miami
46 pts44% wins
12W · 10D · 5L · 27 played
For64
Against50
Dc United
30 pts23% wins
6W · 12D · 8L · 26 played
For34
Against42
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Inter Miami offensive edge
Inter Miami faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-3 - Dc United offensive edge
Dc United's attack (43%) vs Inter Miami's defense (40%).
+3
Sportra ratings
Derived indices from the full statistical profile.
Inter Miamileaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Inter Miami30%
3Draws
4Dc United40%