Inter 1-0 Chievo Prediction

InterInter
1 — 0FT
ChievoChievo

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Inter 36.1%, draw 26%, Chievo 37.9%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.31Expected goals1.35

From 6 and 6 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 2–18.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

22Cold spellInter
Weighted momentum

Chievo arrives with stronger form weighting (+30 momentum).

52BuildingChievo
Inter · High-risk / fragileChievo · Structured / conservative

Inter

1W · 1D · 4L
Recent →LLWLDL
Momentum index

Chievo

2W · 3D · 1L
Recent →DDWWLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapChievo +5

Inter

4 pts
17% wins

1W · 1D · 4L · 6 played

For
8
Against
13
Goal diff -5

Chievo

9 pts
33% wins

2W · 3D · 1L · 6 played

For
6
Against
5
Goal diff +1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Inter offensive edge

    Inter faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -19
  • Chievo offensive edge

    Chievo's attack (44%) vs Inter's defense (25%).

    +19

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Inter56
Chievo44

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Inter25
Chievo75

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Inter22
Chievo52

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Inter12
Chievo88

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Inter45
Chievo30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Inter33
Chievo67

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Inter50
Chievo50
InterHigh-risk / fragile
ChievoStructured / conservative