Ipatinga 1-0 CSA Prediction

IpatingaIpatinga
1 — 0FT
CSACSA
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

IpatingaIpatingavsCsaCsa

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Csa

Estimated win chances: Ipatinga 33.2%, draw 26.5%, Csa 40.3%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.21Expected goals1.36

From 12 and 12 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–110.6%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 0–07.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

51MixedIpatinga
Weighted momentum

Csa arrives with stronger form weighting (+18 momentum).

69Hot streakCsa
Ipatinga · compact defenseCsa · compact defense · hot form

Ipatinga

5W · 3D · 4L
Recent →WLWLWDDLLWWD
Momentum index

Csa

7W · 4D · 1L
Recent →WDWDDWWWDLWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCsa +7

Ipatinga

18 pts
42% wins

5W · 3D · 4L · 12 played

For
14
Against
10
Goal diff +4

Csa

25 pts
58% wins

7W · 4D · 1L · 12 played

For
28
Against
9
Goal diff +19

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Ipatinga offensive edge

    Ipatinga faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -10
  • Csa offensive edge

    Csa's attack (60%) vs Ipatinga's defense (50%).

    +10

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Ipatinga40
Csa60

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Ipatinga50
Csa50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Ipatinga51
Csa69

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Ipatinga30
Csa70

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Ipatinga30
Csa30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Ipatinga50
Csa50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Ipatinga0
Csa0
Ipatingacompact defense
Csacompact defense · hot form