Ipswich 4-0 Middlesbrough Prediction

IpswichIpswich
4 — 0FT
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

IpswichIpswichvsMiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Middlesbrough

Estimated win chances: Ipswich 33.2%, draw 24.7%, Middlesbrough 42.1%. From 29 and 28 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.34Expected goals1.54

From 29 and 28 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 2–18%
  • 1–07.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

41MixedIpswich
Weighted momentum

Middlesbrough arrives with stronger form weighting (+12 momentum).

53BuildingMiddlesbrough
Ipswich · low scoring · leaky defense

Ipswich

8W · 8D · 13L
Recent →LDDLWWDLWWWDLWLWLLLLDDLLLDLWD
Momentum index

Middlesbrough

15W · 2D · 11L
Recent →LLLWWLWWLWLLWDWWWWWDLWLWLWWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Ipswich

32 pts
28% wins

8W · 8D · 13L · 29 played

For
29
Against
51
Goal diff -22

Middlesbrough

47 pts
54% wins

15W · 2D · 11L · 28 played

For
47
Against
39
Goal diff +8

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Ipswich offensive edge

    Ipswich faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -7
  • Middlesbrough offensive edge

    Middlesbrough's attack (64%) vs Ipswich's defense (57%).

    +7

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Ipswich36
Middlesbrough64

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Ipswich57
Middlesbrough43

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Ipswich41
Middlesbrough53

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Ipswich36
Middlesbrough64

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Ipswich37
Middlesbrough30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Ipswich45
Middlesbrough55

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Ipswich29
Middlesbrough71
Ipswichlow scoring · leaky defense