Goal expectancy
1.53Expected goals1.23
From 44 and 44 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Ipswich 44.2%, draw 25.2%, Millwall 30.6%. From 44 and 44 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.53Expected goals1.23
From 44 and 44 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
16W · 10D · 18L · 44 played
14W · 11D · 19L · 44 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Ipswich faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-40Millwall's attack (60%) vs Ipswich's defense (20%).
+40Comparison indices from the match data partner.