Goal expectancy
1.19Expected goals1.15
From 39 and 39 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Ipswich 36.9%, draw 28.1%, Millwall 35%. From 39 and 39 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.19Expected goals1.15
From 39 and 39 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Millwall arrives with stronger form weighting (+23 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
15W · 7D · 17L · 39 played
16W · 13D · 10L · 39 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Ipswich faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-55Millwall's attack (80%) vs Ipswich's defense (25%).
+55Comparison indices from the match data partner.
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.