Goal expectancy
1.57Expected goals1.26
From 21 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Ipswich
Estimated win chances: Ipswich 44.6%, draw 24.8%, Reading 30.6%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
46MixedIpswich
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
47MixedReading
Ipswich
10W · 2D · 9LRecent →LWWLDDWLWLLLWLWLLWWWW
Momentum index
Reading
7W · 6D · 8LRecent →DWWDDLWWLLWLLDDLWLWDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapIpswich +5
Ipswich
32 pts48% wins
10W · 2D · 9L · 21 played
For35
Against32
Reading
27 pts33% wins
7W · 6D · 8L · 21 played
For28
Against26
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ipswich offensive edge
Ipswich faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-21 - Reading offensive edge
Reading's attack (59%) vs Ipswich's defense (38%).
+21
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Ipswich60%
1Draws
1Reading20%