Istres 0-4 Caen Prediction

IstresIstres
0 — 4FT
CaenCaen
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

IstresIstresvsCaenCaen

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Istres

Estimated win chances: Istres 43.5%, draw 28.4%, Caen 28.1%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.27Expected goals0.96

From 9 and 9 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–013.8%
  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–010.9%
  • 0–110.5%
  • 2–08.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

73Hot streakIstres
Weighted momentum

Istres carries the sharper recent run (+24 momentum).

49MixedCaen
Istres · compact defense · hot formCaen · compact defense

Istres

5W · 3D · 1L
Recent →WWDWWDLWD
Momentum index

Caen

4W · 2D · 3L
Recent →LWLDWWLWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapIstres +4

Istres

18 pts
56% wins

5W · 3D · 1L · 9 played

For
11
Against
4
Goal diff +7

Caen

14 pts
44% wins

4W · 2D · 3L · 9 played

For
13
Against
8
Goal diff +5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Istres offensive edge

    Istres's attack (50%) vs Caen's defense (0%).

    +50
  • Caen offensive edge

    Caen runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -50

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Istres50
Caen50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Istres100
Caen0

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Istres73
Caen49

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Istres150
Caen-50

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Istres30
Caen30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Istres65
Caen35

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Istres0
Caen0
Istrescompact defense · hot form
Caencompact defense